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Sen. Ron Johnson is leading Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes in a new poll of the Wisconsin Senate race released Wednesday. In Wisconsin 's Senate race between Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. Republicans have hammered Barnes and other Democratic candidates on crime in recent weeks, while Democrats see abortion rights as an issue that will energize their base in November. Mandela Barnes, the lieutenant governor of . The lieutenant governor and former State Assembly member is expected to face a difficult campaign as he seeks to unseat Johnson, who has served in the Senate since 2011. He said the August polling results from multiple sources show him "this is a very competitive race and Democrats have a compelling opportunity to unseat Ron Johnson.". Updated on: November 9, 2022 / 11:38 AM Now, it's Barnes who is relatively unknown among Wisconsin voters. MADISON, Wis. (AP) U.S. Senate Republican Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes got personal in their final debate Thursday before the Nov. 8 election, with each candidate . Democrats won or held onto key seats, including John Fettermans win over Republican Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania. Johnson maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the Senate. Mandela Barnes speaks at a rally for Jacob Blake Jr., who was paralyzed in a police shooting last year, in Kenosha, Wis. Barnes is leading in the Democratic primary to replace Republican Sen. Ron Johnson. Johnson leads with men and older voters.. Get browser notifications for breaking news, live events, and exclusive reporting. Since then, Johnson has hired one of Wisconsin's 10 fake electors to work for his reelection campaign, and he's spent more than $20,000 for legal consultation with a Wisconsin law firm that assisted former President Donald Trump's efforts to overturn the state's 2020 election results. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, It's looking all but certain that Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will be the Democratic opponent to take on the much-maligned Wisconsin Senator Ron Johnson in November. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. President Biden had a narrow victory in the state in 2020 after former President Donald Trump won it in 2016. Mandela Barnes cited a decade-old vote by Sen. Ron Johnson in favor of a balanced budget, but the best suggestion is cuts to law enforcement might have happened down the line as a. . Analyzing the Wisconsin Senate and governor's races, the poll found both races deadlocked: Mr Barnes trails incumbent Sen Ron Johnson by. Ukraine News. Johnson has outperformed polls before, but political experts note added challenges this election cycle. Mandela Barnes speaks to supporters during his campaign for U.S. Senate on Saturday, Oct. 8, 2022, in Middleton, Wis. Angela Major/WPR. Poll: Ron Johnson widens lead over Mandela Barnes in Wisconsin Senate race The Marquette Law School survey has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters compared with. The Most Interesting Articles, Mysteries and Discoveries. (Last month, the Republican-controlled state Legislatureblocked initial effortsto get that question on the ballot.). Mandela Barnes is maintaining a slight edge over Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson just more than two months from the November election. Johnson, a former plastics company executive from Oshkosh, was first elected in 2010, defeating former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold in a Republican-wave election. Among all registered voters surveyed, it's a much closer race. Republican gubernatorial nominee Tim Michels led Democratic Gov. The crowd in Neenah cheered to life again when Johnson took the stage just after 1 a.m. A previous April survey by Marquette Law School showed that half of Wisconsin's voters did not believe Johnson actually cared about them. At Johnson's election night watch party in Neenah, the crowd was in high spirits throughout the evening giving loud cheers as they watched Fox News election coverage of the race. On Sunday, the Trafalgar Group released the results of a survey of Wisconsin voters conducted between Aug. 22 and Aug. 25. Some ads focused on positions Barnes had taken or statements he had made such as his support for ending cash bail and saying that reducing prison populations is now sexy while others made misleading claims about his tenure as the state's lieutenant governor, like accusing his administration of having paroled hundreds of violent offenders. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. Governor Mandela Barnes, left and US Senator Ron Johnson participate in the senate debate co-hosted by Marquette University and TMJ4 at Marquette University's Varsity Theatre at 1326 W.. Wisconsin Mandela Barnes (D) vs. Ron Johnson (R) What do the House races . Wisconsin Lt. Gov. AP Photo/Mike Roemer. Above left, Johnson departs from the Senate chambers on July 21. By comparison, 48 percent of Wisconsinites said they approved of their Democratic governor, and only 45 percent said they disapproved. "No matter what anyone says, we are committed to making sure every vote is counted. A pedestrian walks by a sign in front of a polling location on Tuesday, April 5, 2022, in Milwaukee, Wis. Angela Major/WPR. Why is there a long line of railcars parked on the tracks near Spooner? Johnson has long been known as a polarizing and controversial figure in politics who made headlines for pushing drugs like hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin as early treatment options during the COVID-19 pandemic. Barnes has citedformer President Barack Obama as his inspiration for entering politics. The. Johnson has maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the. Editor's note: WPR's Jonah Chester, Joe Schulz and Andrea Anderson contributed reporting to this story. Barnes to overcome his 27,374 vote deficit. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. The poll, whose results were released on Wednesday, has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters, compared with Barnes 46 percent. Market data provided by Factset. / CBS News. With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. FOX NEWS POLL: POLARIZATION DEFINES THE MIDTERM ELECTION. You can follow him on Twitter @timothynerozzi and can email him at timothy.nerozzi@fox.com. These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates McCarthy, GOP pump brakes on release of Jan. 6 footage to Tucker Carlson, Christie: Trump grand jury foreperson did a lot of damage to case. . More from. According to OpenSecrets, Johnson raised $31.5 million, spent $28 million, and had $3.5 million in cash on hand, as of October 19. InWisconsin's Senate race between Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. Incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is widening the gap over his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes, in Wisconsins Senate race, a new poll from Marquette Law School found. In response to the August polls, a spokesperson for Barnes' campaign said the results show that "Wisconsin voters know how Ron Johnson has spent his decade-plus in office enriching himself and his wealthy donors on the backs of their hard work.". On the other hand, Mandela Barnes said he agreed to be a part of the debate anchored by the Main Street Alliance and the Wisconsin Farmers Union because the group commonly lines up with the democrats. In the June poll released by Marquette Law School testing each candidate's strength against Johnson, Barnes hits or approaches those benchmarks, while Lasry falls far short of the numbers needed . Mandela Barnes. Barnes appeared with Lasry and Godlewski as they made their announcements, praising their campaigns. The senator has been tied to the fake elector scheme, which is being investigated by the U.S. Department of Justice, after text messages came to light showing Johnson's office tried to get slates of fake electoral ballots from Wisconsin and Michigan to former Vice President Mike Pence on Jan. 6, 2021. In the final weeks, Johnson focused on crime in particular, unleashing a barrage of negative ads that highlighted rising crime rates and singling out things Barnes had said about criminal justice reform. Just more than 3 percent of those surveyed were undecided. All rights reserved. Currently, Wisconsin voters cannot change laws by direct referendum. Eran Ben-Porath contributed to this report. The Republican incumbent had a slight lead in the closing weeks of the campaign, with a CBS News poll from October showing him with a one-point lead over Barnes, though other polls showed Johnson with a larger lead. Part of the shift can be attributed to likely independent voters. Both politicians were backed by 43 percent of likely voters. One percent of respondents said they would vote for neither candidate and 1% said they were undecided. ", Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., speaks to supporters after arriving at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. Copyright 2023 CBS Interactive Inc. All rights reserved. We want to bring transparency to the elections process by shining a light on how campaigns and outside groups are using political mailers to talk to voters. Caitlin Yilek is a politics reporter for CBS News Digital. Barnes leads Johnson with women and younger voters. State Treasurer Sarah Godlewski followed suit on Friday, saying that the Democratic Party should be united going into the election. (AP Photo/Morry Gash). C-SPAN, an acronym for Cable-Satellite Public Affairs Network, is an American cable television network that offers coverage of federal government proceedings and other public affairs programming via its three television channels (C-SPAN, C-SPAN2 and C-SPAN3), one radio station and a group of. Barnes had also attempted to undercut Johnsons claims that he supports law enforcement by repeatedly pointing out that he downplayed the Jan. 6 riot, in which police were overrun and in some cases brutally beaten by a pro-Trump mob. In a general election match up, Mandela beats Ron Johnson by 2 points, more than any of his opponents. Barnes led Johnson 49.4 percent to 47.1 percent. "That's how close we should assume the race will be, regardless of the specificity of those numbers. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. The Marquette Law School survey has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters compared with Barnes 46 percent. Mandela Barnes - Feb 1st, 2022 Re-election Bid Just the Latest Lie From Ron Johnson - A . The votes are in, Johnson said in an email statement that was released before NBC News and other news outlets made the call. Barnes' lead disappeared after Johnson's campaign and Republican groups went on the attack with negative ads. Legal Statement. Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, clashed on crime and Jan. 6 as they tussled during their first debate on Friday.. Moderator and veteran newscaster . A Fox News survey of. Johnson promised to be a "citizen legislator" and serve just two terms. Ron Johnson (R-WI) and his Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. Hungry? Stay informed with WPR's email newsletter. Johnson built a small lead in most polls over Barnes though within the margin of error after he began relentlessly focusing on crime, and his victory suggests the strategy worked. "Barnes is really going to have to execute a strong strategy of defining himself positively and pushing back against an enormous amount of negative campaigning that is already coming his way and will surely only escalate between now and Election Day," Chergosky said. The 2022 Wisconsin gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Wisconsin.Incumbent Democratic governor Tony Evers won re-election to a 2nd term, defeating Republican nominee, Tim Michels.. As Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes ran for the U.S. Senate in the concurrent election, a new Democratic running mate, state assemblywoman Sara Rodriguez, was nominated in . (AP Photo/Morry Gash). Barnes' campaign, and other Democratic strategists, viewed the poll as an outlier. Wisconsin Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Lt. Gov. In order to do so, the Republican-controlled state Legislature would need to pass a constitutional amendment. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Barnes made an early bet to run as a progressive and largely did not move to the center. IE 11 is not supported. The race was one of the most expensive election contests in the country, according to a firm that tracks political spending. They pointed to a CBS News poll from over the weekend showing Johnson ahead . When Johnson first ran for public office in 2010 and even during his first reelection bid, Chergosky said many voters hadn't yet formed an opinion. defeated former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold, Democratic Lt. Gov. AP Photo/Mike Roemer. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Market data provided by Factset. In September, Evers led among independents 45% to 39%. The Associated Press called the race for Johnson at 11:46 a.m. Wednesday as the senator led Barnes by 27,374 votes. After Barnes won an all but uncontested U.S. Senate Democratic primary in August, the lieutenant governor led Johnson by 7 percentage points in Marquette polling. Mandela Barnes. It continued, labeling Barnes as a "socialist who wants to fundamentally transform America. The margins of error for registered voters and likely voters are +/- 4.3% and +/-4.8% respectively. Biden garnered 49.5 percent four years later. In Marquette's September poll, Evers led Michels among likely voters 47% to 44%. His campaign released a statement saying it has known all along this race "would be incredibly close.". Just more than 3 percent of those surveyed were undecided. The Marquette poll found that more voters had a favorable opinion of him than not, but 30 percent said they haven't heard enough about Barnes. Barnes' lead was within the polls' 2.9 percent margin of error. Only 1 percent of likely voters are still undecided in the gubernatorial race, according to the poll, which surveyed 652 likely voters in Wisconsin from Oct. 3 to Oct. 9 and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. This race is over.. More from Yorkshire Post. Sign up now! Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., poses for photos with supporters at a election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. Ron Johnson's Road to Reelection Is Getting Bumpy. At the beginning of the election cycle, Johnson was seen as one of the most vulnerable Republican incumbents in the U.S. Senate. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. Lt. Gov. Johnson won his first Senate race in 2010, unseating Democratic Sen. Russ Feingold. Stay up to date with what you want to know. Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will become the Democratic Party's nominee to face off against GOP Senator Ron Johnson in November after his top opponents dropped out and endorsed his campaign this weekwith polls suggesting the liberal candidate has a slim advantage. The small margins indicate a tight race with the midterms just two weeks away. Besides Mandela and Ron, Gov Tony Evers, a nominee from the Democratic Party, and . IE 11 is not supported. U.S. Senate candidates Mandela Barnes and Ron Johnson sparred over a wide range of issues - everything from decriminalizing marijuana and immigration to the minimum wage, abortion and crime - during their first debate leading up to the 2022 fall midterm election.. The poll from Marquette Law School suggests Johnson, a two-term incumbent, is leading Barnes, the states lieutenant governor, among likely voters by 6 percentage points 52% to 46%. The new survey found Johnson up just 1 percentage point among likely Wisconsin voters, with 50 percent saying theyd learn toward the Republican if the election were held today and 49 percent saying the same of Barnes. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. MIDTERM STUDY FINDS MAINSTREAM MEDIA GAVE REPUBLICANS 87% MORE NEGATIVE COVERAGE THAN DEMOCRATS. Approximately 50% of likely voters said they support Johnson in the race, compared to 48% for Barnes, according to the Marquette poll of 679 likely voters. The bill passed 80-15 with many Democrats and all but one Republican voting "yes." Mandela Barnes joined radical Democrats like David Bowen and Jonathan Brostoff in refusing to protect cops, public defenders, and prosecutors, and their family members. Marquette's August survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percent. The margin of error was 4.2 percentage points overall and 4.5 percentage points among likely voters. Although Wisconsin's primary won't take place until August 9, Barnes, who was already leading in the polls, is all but guaranteed to secure the Democratic nomination. Barnes, 35, has seen his chances of unseating Sen. Johnson shrink by the day as crime becomes the central focus of their Senate race It occurred concurrently with a Senate election in the state, elections to the state's U.S. House seats, and various other elections.Incumbent Republican Governor Scott Walker sought re-election to a third term, and was challenged by Democratic candidate and then-Superintendent of Public Instruction Tony Evers, as well . Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East School culture wars fuel top House GOP bill, Watch live: White House monkeypox response team holds briefing, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Johnson also holds a 2-point lead over Barnes in favorability ratings among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the Republican and 44 percent saying the same. That number had fallen to 9 percent in Marquette's Aug. 17 poll. We will wait and see what the Wisconsin voters have decided after all their voices are heard," the statement said. Tony Evers, 46 percent back Republican challenger Tim Michels, and 4 percent support independent Joan Belinger. "Truth has prevailed over lies and the politics of personal destruction. MILWAUKEE A new Marquette Law School Poll survey of Wisconsin voters finds close races for governor and for the U.S. Senate. On two large screens, the audience at the Johnson event quietly watched Fox News election coverage and let out loud groans and boos when Democrats were projected to win other high-profile federal races. Adam Edelman is a political reporter for NBC News. The Democrat became the state's first Black lieutenant governor when he took office in 2019. Barnes focused much of his closing message hammering Johnson over his opposition to abortion rights an issue Democrats across the country had hoped would energize their base in the midterms following the Supreme Courts reversal of Roe v. Wade in June. Mandela Barnes, is the choice of 48%. Democrat Russ Feingold held the seat now occupied by Johnson from 1993 until he was defeated by the Republican in 2010. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has won reelection to a third term, narrowly defeating Democratic Lt. Gov. Johnson has said he supports an abortion ban that includes exceptions for rape, incest and the life of the mother, but has not called for the Legislature to change the states 1849 law. Wisconsin's GOP senator, Ron Johnson, will face off against state Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes in November. ", "And if anybody wants predictions, my advice would be just flip a coin and you've got a 50/50 chance of being right," Lee said. Among those citing integrity as most important, Barnes won 54% of the vote, while among those saying a candidate who shares values with them is most important, 60% voted for Johnson. "He's not in a place, in terms of his favorability and unfavorability numbers, where an incumbent senator would want to be," Chergosky said. Fox News's Bradford Betz contributed to this report. Johnson is running for reelection to a third term, while Barnes hopes to topple the GOP. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has won reelection to a third term, narrowly defeating Democratic Lt. Gov. In an eight-candidate field, where several rivals were still actively campaigning, Barnes won more than 77 percent of the vote. 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